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MN-01 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Johnson vs. Finstad | Kalshi
House
MN-01 House winner?
Live
98.8% votes counted
·
D +0.8
Resolves by winning party
458
Chance
Jake Johnson
50.0% · 163,054 votes
Democratic (DFL) party
96.3%
▲ 5
Yes
96.4¢
No
4.2¢
Jake Johnson
50.0% · 163,054 votes
Democratic (DFL) party
96.3%
▲ 5
Yes
96.4¢
No
4.2¢
Brad Finstad
49.9% · 162,733 votes
Republican party
3.7%
▼ 5
Yes
4.2¢
No
96.4¢
Brad Finstad
49.9% · 162,733 votes
Republican party
3.7%
▼ 5
Yes
4.2¢
No
96.4¢
MN-01 House Margin of Victory
MN-01 House Voter Turnout
MN-01 House Vote Percent
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Jake Johnson
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3.5% Interest
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Nov 3, 2027
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Johnson
163,054
Finstad
162,733
$995,400 vol
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Race Intel
MN-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Brad Finstad (R)
Running for re-election
MN-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Brad Finstad
R
45.0%
45.0%
$2.6M
6.8%
$2.6M raised
·
6.8% small donors
Jake Johnson
D
44.7%
44.7%
$3.2M
29%
$3.2M raised
·
29% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MN-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +12.0%
2020
R +9.2%
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