NY-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Tonko

Nov 3 ·D +28.0margin forecast

Ambrosio

$3,649 vol

Chance

Paul Tonko

Democratic party

97.1%

Paul Tonko

Democratic party

97.1%

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican party

2.9%

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican party

2.9%

Race Intel

NY-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPaul Tonko (D)Running for re-election

NY-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Paul TonkoD
$1.2M
8.9%
$1.2M raised·8.9% small donors
Ralph AmbrosioR
$60.6K
19%
$60.6K raised·19% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.1%2020D +19.2%

People are also trading

New York Governor winner?

New York's 20th District margin of victory

New York 20 House General Election: voter turnout

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman NY-17 House race NY-01 House race NY-03 House race

NY-20 House winner?

Ralph Ambrosio

Dollars

Odds

3% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

NY-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Tonko

Nov 3 ·D +28.0margin forecast

Ambrosio

$3,649 vol

Chance

Paul Tonko

Democratic party

97.1%

Paul Tonko

Democratic party

97.1%

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican party

2.9%

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican party

2.9%

Race Intel

NY-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentPaul Tonko (D)Running for re-election

NY-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Paul TonkoD
$1.2M
8.9%
$1.2M raised·8.9% small donors
Ralph AmbrosioR
$60.6K
19%
$60.6K raised·19% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.1%2020D +19.2%

People are also trading

New York Governor winner?

New York's 20th District margin of victory

New York 20 House General Election: voter turnout

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman NY-17 House race NY-01 House race NY-03 House race

NY-20 House winner?

Ralph Ambrosio

Dollars

Odds

3% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

NY-20 House winner?

Paul Tonko

Ralph Ambrosio

NY-20 House Race 2026

NY-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Ralph Ambrosio

NY-20 House winner?

Paul Tonko

Ralph Ambrosio

NY-20 House Race 2026

NY-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past NY-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

Ralph Ambrosio

Control of Congress

Top races

More races