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  1. House

IA-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Lindsay James
Democratic party
59%

Lindsay James

Democratic party
59%
Joe Mitchell
Republican party
41%

Joe Mitchell

Republican party
41%
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IA-02 House winner?

Lindsay James

Odds
63% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
James
Nov 3 ·D +2.4margin forecast
Mitchell
$51,602 vol
Race Intel

IA-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAshley Hinson (R)Not seeking re-election

IA-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Lindsay JamesD42.5%
    42.5%
    $3.5M
    13%
    $3.5M raised·13% small donors
  • Joe MitchellR41.5%
    41.5%
    $2.7M
    19%
    $2.7M raised·19% small donors

James vs. Mitchell Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageJames +1.042.5% vs. 41.5%
Kalshi oddsJames 59%Mitchell 41% · $42K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past IA-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.0%2020R +4.4%