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  1. House

AZ-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Paul Gosar
Republican party
97.1%
▼ 0.5

Paul Gosar

Republican party
97.1%
▼ 0.5
Dani Sterbinsky
Democratic party
2.9%
▲ 0.5

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party
2.9%
▲ 0.5

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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AZ-09 House winner?

Paul Gosar

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sterbinsky
Nov 3 ·R +18.6margin forecast
Gosar
$19,450 vol
Race Intel

AZ-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPaul Gosar (R)Running for re-election

AZ-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dani SterbinskyD
    $437K
    86%
    $437K raised·86% small donors
  • Paul GosarR
    $580K
    21%
    $580K raised·21% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +31.0%2020R +25.8%

More Arizona and 2026 Midterm Races

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Arizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsAZ-01 House raceAZ-02 House race

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