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House
MO-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Mark Alford
Republican party
97.1%
▼ 1.5
Yes
98.6¢
No
3.4¢
Mark Alford
Republican party
97.1%
▼ 1.5
Yes
98.6¢
No
3.4¢
Jordan Herrera
Democratic party
2.9%
▲ 1.5
Yes
3.5¢
No
98.9¢
Jordan Herrera
Democratic party
2.9%
▲ 1.5
Yes
3.5¢
No
98.9¢
MO-04 House Voter Turnout
MO-04 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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MO-04 House winner?
Mark Alford
YES 98.6¢
NO 3.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Herrera
Nov 3
·
R +30.0
margin forecast
Alford
$39,923 vol
1D
1W
1M
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Race Intel
MO-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Mark Alford (R)
Running for re-election
MO-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jordan Herrera
D
$41.7K
37%
$41.7K raised
·
37% small donors
Mark Alford
R
$1.6M
1.1%
$1.6M raised
·
1.1% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MO-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +21.2%
2020
R +18.8%
More Missouri and 2026 Midterm Races
More Missouri races
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MO-05 House race
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