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  1. House

NY-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Paul Tonko
Democratic party
97.9%
▲ 0.9

Paul Tonko

Democratic party
97.9%
▲ 0.9
Ralph Ambrosio
Republican party
2.1%
▼ 0.9

Ralph Ambrosio

Republican party
2.1%
▼ 0.9

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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NY-20 House winner?

Paul Tonko

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tonko
Nov 3 ·D +28.1margin forecast
Ambrosio
$4,165 vol
Race Intel

NY-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPaul Tonko (D)Running for re-election

NY-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Paul TonkoD
    $1.2M
    8.9%
    $1.2M raised·8.9% small donors
  • Ralph AmbrosioR
    $60.6K
    19%
    $60.6K raised·19% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.1%2020D +19.2%

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