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House
TX-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Pat Fallon
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 0.5
Yes
97¢
No
3.8¢
Pat Fallon
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 0.5
Yes
97¢
No
3.8¢
Jason Pearce
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 0.5
Yes
4.7¢
No
98.9¢
Jason Pearce
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 0.5
Yes
4.7¢
No
98.9¢
TX-04 House Voter Turnout
TX-04 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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TX-04 House winner?
Pat Fallon
YES 97¢
NO 3.8¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Pearce
Nov 3
·
R +17.1
margin forecast
Fallon
$11,822 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
TX-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Pat Fallon (R)
Running for re-election
TX-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jason Pearce
D
$16.3K
29%
$16.3K raised
·
29% small donors
Pat Fallon
R
$933.2K
0.4%
$933.2K raised
·
0.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TX-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +24.6%
2020
R +17.8%
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