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House
TX-16 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Veronica Escobar
Democratic party
97.5%
▲ 0.1
Yes
98.8¢
No
2.1¢
Veronica Escobar
Democratic party
97.5%
▲ 0.1
Yes
98.8¢
No
2.1¢
Adam Bauman
Republican party
2.5%
▼ 0.1
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.8¢
Adam Bauman
Republican party
2.5%
▼ 0.1
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.8¢
TX-16 House Voter Turnout
TX-16 House Vote Percent
Democrat Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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TX-16 House winner?
Veronica Escobar
YES 98.8¢
NO 2.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Escobar
Nov 3
·
D +32.7
margin forecast
Bauman
$5,905 vol
1D
1W
1M
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Race Intel
TX-16 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Veronica Escobar (D)
Running for re-election
TX-16 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Adam Bauman
R
—
—
Veronica Escobar
D
$1M
2.5%
$1M raised
·
2.5% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TX-16 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +16.4%
2020
D +35.6%
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