Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive115AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE115
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

TX-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Low volume
Chance
Joaquin Castro
Democratic party
97.8%

Joaquin Castro

Democratic party
97.8%
Edgardo Baez
Republican party
2.2%

Edgardo Baez

Republican party
2.2%

People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Series Image
Texas's 20th District margin of victory
Series Image
Texas 20 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
TX-15 House winner?
Series Image
TX-23 House winner?
Series Image
TX-28 House winner?
Series Image
TX-35 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Castro
Nov 3 ·D +43.4margin forecast
Baez
$8,145 vol
Race Intel

TX-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJoaquin Castro (D)Running for re-election

TX-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Edgardo BaezR
    $66.7K
    6.8%
    $66.7K raised·6.8% small donors
  • Joaquin CastroD
    $586.1K
    7.9%
    $586.1K raised·7.9% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +28.4%2020D +40.2%

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Turek vs. HinsonKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

More races

Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornAlaska Senate raceNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonIowa Governor race: Sand vs. Lahn