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  1. House

TX-31 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John Carter
Republican party
91.8%
▼ 1.2

John Carter

Republican party
91.8%
▼ 1.2
Justin Early
Democratic party
8.2%
▲ 1.2

Justin Early

Democratic party
8.2%
▲ 1.2

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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TX-31 House winner?

John Carter

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Early
Nov 3 ·R +12.8margin forecast
Carter
$31,065 vol
Race Intel

TX-31 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Carter (R)Running for re-election

TX-31 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John CarterR
    $1.5M
    0.2%
    $1.5M raised·0.2% small donors
  • Justin EarlyD
    $123.5K
    24%
    $123.5K raised·24% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-31 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.8%2020R +17.8%

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

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