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  1. House

WA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Michael Baumgartner
Republican party
76%
▼ 7

Michael Baumgartner

Republican party
76%
▼ 7
Carmela Conroy
Democratic party
24%
▲ 7

Carmela Conroy

Democratic party
24%
▲ 7

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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WA-05 House winner?

Michael Baumgartner

Odds
80% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Conroy
Nov 3 ·R +6.4margin forecast
Baumgartner
$206,676 vol
Race Intel

WA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMichael Baumgartner (R)Running for re-election

WA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Carmela ConroyD
    $396.2K
    22%
    $396.2K raised·22% small donors
  • Michael BaumgartnerR
    $2.1M
    11%
    $2.1M raised·11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past WA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.7%2020R +10.0%

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