MARKETSPERPSLIVE201
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive201AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate
·Special Election

Florida Senate winner?

Ashley Moody (R) vs. Angie Nixon (D) · Election Day: November 3, 2026 · Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Ashley Moody
Republican party
91%
▲ 0.3

Ashley Moody

Republican party
91%
▲ 0.3
Angie Nixon
Democratic party
9%
▼ 0.3

Angie Nixon

Democratic party
9%
▼ 0.3
People are also trading
Series Image
Florida Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Tennessee Senate winner?
Series Image
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Florida State House winner?
Series Image
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?
Series Image
FL-13 House winner?
Series Image
Florida State Senate winner?
Series Image
Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent
Series Image
Florida Attorney General winner?
Series Image
Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

More Florida races

Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-27 House raceFL-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate race

More races

Idaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxAlaska Governor race
Combo
Florida Senate winner?

Ashley Moody

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Nixon
Nov 3 ·R +8.3margin forecast
Moody
$1,641,463 vol
Race Intel· Florida

Florida Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026Special election
IncumbentAshley Moody (R)Running for re-election

Florida Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ashley MoodyR49.3%
    49.3%
    $10.8M
    13%
    $10.8M raised·13% small donors
  • Angie NixonD42.6%
    42.6%
    $625.1K
    51%
    $625.1K raised·51% small donors

Moody vs. Nixon Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageMoody +6.749.3% vs. 42.6%
Kalshi oddsMoody 91%Nixon 9% · $1.5M traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Florida Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.1%2020R +3.4%