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  1. Senate

Minnesota Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Peggy Flanagan
Democratic (DFL) party
85%

Peggy Flanagan

Democratic (DFL) party
85%
Michele Tafoya
Republican party
15%

Michele Tafoya

Republican party
15%
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Minnesota Senate margin of victory
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Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
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Minnesota Senate: margin of victory
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Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout
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Minnesota Senate margin of victory
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Minnesota Senate election: Peggy Flanagan vote percent
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Minnesota Senate election: Michele Tafoya vote percent
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Texas Senate winner?
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

More Minnesota and 2026 Midterm Races

More Minnesota races

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Control of Congress

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Combo
Minnesota Senate winner?

Peggy Flanagan

Odds
86% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Flanagan
Nov 3 ·D +6.0margin forecast
Tafoya
$4,205,673 vol
Race Intel

Minnesota Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTina Smith (D)Not seeking re-election

Minnesota Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Peggy FlanaganD45.9%
    45.9%
    $10.3M
    38%
    $10.3M raised·38% small donors
  • Michele TafoyaR43.1%
    43.1%
    $9.7M
    40%
    $9.7M raised·40% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Minnesota Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.2%2020D +7.1%