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Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Texas Senate winner? Odds & Predictions 2026

Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party

Series Image

Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party

Begins in 105 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST

Chance

Ken Paxton

Republican party

57%

▲ 1

Ken Paxton

Republican party

57%

▲ 1

James Talarico

Democratic party

43%

▼ 1

James Talarico

Democratic party

43%

▼ 1

Race intel

Texas SenateFunding thru Q2 '26

DJames TalaricoRaised $68.6M · Small donors 54%
45.9%polling avg
Raised $68.6M · Small donors 54%
RKen PaxtonRaised $9.2M · Small donors 19%
45.2%polling avg
Raised $9.2M · Small donors 19%

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%

Ken Paxton

Dollars$

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

$0

$6,205,389 vol

1D

1W

1M

ALL