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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2
Democratic
Nov 3
Republican
$143,437,733 vol
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
90.4%
▲ 0.2

Democratic Party

90.4%
▲ 0.2
Republican Party
9.6%
▼ 0.2

Republican Party

9.6%
▼ 0.2
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Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 90% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 435 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

Combo

Democratic Party

Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
TX-15 House race
MN-05 House race
MT-01 House race
FL-25 House race
TX-23 House race
NC-11 House race
FL-14 House race
NY-17 House race
VA-05 House race
AL-02 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton

More races

Florida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo