Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive413AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE413
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Live
Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27
Democratic Party
Yes

Democratic Party

Yes
Republican Party
No

Republican Party

No

People are also trading
Series Image
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Series Image
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Series Image
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
Series Image
Closest Senate race this year?
Series Image
Mississippi Senate winner?
Series Image
Alaska Senate winner?
Series Image
NY-17 House winner?
Series Image
Kansas Governor winner?
Series Image
Nevada Governor winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Illustration of gavel
Determined
Outcome: Yes
Explore Elections
Democratic
Republican
$327,234,869 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 100% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Mississippi and Alaska. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Mississippi Senate race: Colom vs. Hyde-SmithAlaska Senate raceTexas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. AbbottMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsSouth Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. GrahamNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. BurbankIowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson

More races

Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. HatleyOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesKentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. Shoffner