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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27

2

Chance

Democratic Party

75%

▲ 4

Democratic Party

75%

▲ 4

Republican Party

25%

▼ 4

Republican Party

25%

▼ 4

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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Closest Senate race this year?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)

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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

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How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Senate winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Who will control the Senate?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

76% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Democratic

Nov 3

Republican

$158,205,126 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 75% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and South Carolina. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions 2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn Alaska Senate race North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton Florida Senate race: Moody vs. Nixon Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. Minogue Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins