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House
NY-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Laura Gillen
Democratic party
92.4%
▼ 0.6
Yes
92.9¢
No
7.2¢
Laura Gillen
Democratic party
92.4%
▼ 0.6
Yes
92.9¢
No
7.2¢
Jeanine Driscoll
Republican party
7.6%
▲ 0.6
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.9¢
Jeanine Driscoll
Republican party
7.6%
▲ 0.6
Yes
7.5¢
No
92.9¢
NY-04 House Voter Turnout
NY-04 House Vote Percent
Democrat Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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NY-04 House winner?
Laura Gillen
YES 92.9¢
NO 7.2¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Gillen
Nov 3
·
D +15.6
margin forecast
Driscoll
$206,577 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NY-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Laura Gillen (D)
Running for re-election
NY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jeanine Driscoll
R
$664.6K
5.5%
$664.6K raised
·
5.5% small donors
Laura Gillen
D
$6M
6.2%
$6M raised
·
6.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NY-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +1.3%
2020
D +14.5%
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