Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
95
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
95
PRO
MORE
House
MD-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Glenn Ivey
Democratic party
97.7%
Yes
99.7¢
No
2¢
Glenn Ivey
Democratic party
97.7%
Yes
99.7¢
No
2¢
George McDermott
Republican party
2.3%
Yes
3.6¢
No
99.7¢
George McDermott
Republican party
2.3%
Yes
3.6¢
No
99.7¢
People are also trading
Maryland's 4th District margin of victory
Maryland 04 House General Election: voter turnout
MD-04 House election: Glenn Ivey vote percent
MD-04 House election: George McDermott vote percent
Texas Senate winner?
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Texas Governor winner?
California Governor winner? (Person)
New York Governor winner?
Show more
More Maryland and 2026 Midterm Races
More Maryland races
Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. Cox
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
Kansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton
More races
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya
North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley
Alaska Senate race
Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn
Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton
New Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. Sununu
Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins
Iowa Governor race: Sand vs. Lahn
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
MD-04 House winner?
Glenn Ivey
YES 99.7¢
NO 2¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
100% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Ivey
Nov 3
·
D +79.3
margin forecast
McDermott
$13,696 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
MD-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Glenn Ivey (D)
Running for re-election
MD-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
George McDermott
R
—
—
Glenn Ivey
D
$855.3K
8.4%
$855.3K raised
·
8.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MD-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +73.2%
2020
D +81.0%