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House
FL-16 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Sydney Gruters
Republican party
80%
Yes
82¢
No
19¢
Sydney Gruters
Republican party
80%
Yes
82¢
No
19¢
Kelly Kirschner
Democratic party
20%
Yes
20¢
No
82¢
Kelly Kirschner
Democratic party
20%
Yes
20¢
No
82¢
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Buy
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Dollars
FL-16 House winner?
Sydney Gruters
YES 82¢
NO 19¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
83% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Kirschner
Nov 3
·
R +6.8
margin forecast
Gruters
$21,935 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
FL-16 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Vern Buchanan (R)
Not seeking re-election
FL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Kelly Kirschner
D
$751.6K
12%
$751.6K raised
·
12% small donors
Sydney Gruters
R
$1.6M
0.3%
$1.6M raised
·
0.3% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past FL-16 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +13.6%
2020
R +5.5%