MARKETSPERPSLIVE219
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive219AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

MI-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John Moolenaar
Republican party

96.5%

▼ 0.5
John Moolenaar
Republican party

96.5%

▼ 0.5
Benjamin Ambrose
Democratic party

3.5%

▲ 0.5
Benjamin Ambrose
Democratic party

3.5%

▲ 0.5

People are also trading

Series Image
Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
Michigan 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
MI-02 House election: Ben Ambrose vote percent
Series Image
MI-02 House election: John Moolenaar vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Ohio Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Iowa Senate winner?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
MI-02 House winner?

John Moolenaar

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Ambrose
Nov 3 ·R +25.2margin forecast
Moolenaar
$13,696 vol
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben AmbroseD
    —
    —
  • John MoolenaarR
    $1.6M
    2.1%
    $1.6M raised·2.1% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +30.1%2020R +28.2%