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  1. Senate
·Special Election

Florida Senate winner?

Ashley Moody (R) vs. Angie Nixon (D) · Election Day: November 3, 2026 · Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Ashley Moody
Republican party
84%
▼ 2

Ashley Moody

Republican party
84%
▼ 2
Angie Nixon
Democratic party
16%
▲ 2

Angie Nixon

Democratic party
16%
▲ 2

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Combo
Florida Senate winner?

Ashley Moody

Odds
86% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Nixon
Nov 3 ·R +6.1margin forecast
Moody
$5,305,295 vol
Race Intel· Florida

Florida Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026Special election
IncumbentAshley Moody (R)Running for re-election

Florida Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ashley MoodyR49.3%
    49.3%
    $13.3M
    15%
    $13.3M raised·15% small donors
  • Angie NixonD43.0%
    43.0%
    $974.8K
    59%
    $974.8K raised·59% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Florida Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.1%2020R +3.4%

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

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Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-09 House raceFL-26 House race

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2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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