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Senate
·
Special Election
Florida Senate winner?
Ashley Moody (R) vs. Angie Nixon (D)
· Election Day: November 3, 2026 · Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Ashley Moody
Republican party
90%
▲ 1
Yes
90¢
No
11¢
Ashley Moody
Republican party
90%
▲ 1
Yes
90¢
No
11¢
Angie Nixon
Democratic party
10%
▼ 1
Yes
11¢
No
90¢
Angie Nixon
Democratic party
10%
▼ 1
Yes
11¢
No
90¢
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Combo
Buy
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Dollars
Florida Senate winner?
Ashley Moody
YES 90¢
NO 11¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
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Nixon
Nov 3
·
R +9.0
margin forecast
Moody
$2,146,518 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
· Florida
Florida Senate Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
Special election
Incumbent
Ashley Moody (R)
Running for re-election
Florida Senate Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Ashley Moody
R
49.2%
49.2%
$13.3M
15%
$13.3M raised
·
15% small donors
Angie Nixon
D
42.6%
42.6%
$974.8K
59%
$974.8K raised
·
59% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past Florida Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +13.1%
2020
R +3.4%