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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the House?

2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
93.5%
▲ 1.6

Democratic Party

93.5%
▲ 1.6
Republican Party
6.5%
▼ 1.6

Republican Party

6.5%
▼ 1.6
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How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
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Texas Senate winner?

Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 94% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 435 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

TX-15 House raceMN-05 House raceMT-01 House raceVA-05 House raceTX-23 House raceFL-25 House raceNY-17 House raceNC-03 House raceNC-11 House raceNC-01 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Wyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate raceNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
Combo
Who will control the House?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democratic
Nov 3
Republican
$179,316,643 vol