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  1. House

FL-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Dan Green
Republican party
71%

Dan Green

Republican party
71%
Darren Soto
Democratic party
29%

Darren Soto

Democratic party
29%
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Florida's 9th District margin of victory
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FL-09 House election: Dan Green vote percent
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FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percent
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FL-09 House winner?

Dan Green

Odds
73% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Soto
Nov 3 ·D +6.1margin forecast
Green
$123,721 vol
Race Intel

FL-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDarren Soto (D)Running for re-election

FL-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dan GreenR
    $1.1M
    0.1%
    $1.1M raised·0.1% small donors
  • Darren SotoD
    $2M
    0.5%
    $2M raised·0.5% small donors

Green vs. Soto Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGreen 71%Soto 29% · $94.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +17.7%2020R +6.8%