Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive112AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE112
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

FL-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jim Schwartzel
Republican party
94.9%

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party
94.9%
Victor Arias
Democratic party
5.1%

Victor Arias

Democratic party
5.1%
People are also trading
Series Image
Florida's 19th District margin of victory
Series Image
Florida 19 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
FL-19 House election: Jim Schwartzel vote percent
Series Image
FL-19 House election: Victor Arias vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

More Florida races

Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-27 House raceFL-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate race

More races

Rhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. AndersonDelaware Senate race: Coons vs. Katz
FL-19 House winner?

Jim Schwartzel

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Arias
Nov 3 ·R +19.3margin forecast
Schwartzel
$4,097 vol
Race Intel

FL-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentByron Donalds (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jim SchwartzelR
    $2.1M
    0.3%
    $2.1M raised·0.3% small donors
  • Victor AriasD
    $70K
    13%
    $70K raised·13% small donors

Schwartzel vs. Arias Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSchwartzel 95%Arias 5% · $1,820 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.1%2020R +22.0%