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  1. House

FL-21 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Brian Mast
Republican party
84%
▼ 6.7

Brian Mast

Republican party
84%
▼ 6.7
James Martin
Democratic party
16%
▲ 6.7

James Martin

Democratic party
16%
▲ 6.7
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Florida's 21st District margin of victory
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Florida 21 House General Election: voter turnout
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FL-21 House election: Brian Mast vote percent
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FL-21 House election: James Martin vote percent
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FL-21 House winner?

Brian Mast

Odds
87% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Martin
Nov 3 ·R +10.8margin forecast
Mast
$25,433 vol
Race Intel

FL-21 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBrian Mast (R)Running for re-election

FL-21 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brian MastR
    $4.9M
    28%
    $4.9M raised·28% small donors
  • James MartinD
    $772.6K
    15%
    $772.6K raised·15% small donors

Mast vs. Martin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMast 84%Martin 16% · $18.9K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-21 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +16.2%2020R +8.8%