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  1. House

NY-12 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Micah Lasher
Democratic party
97.2%
▼ 0.7

Micah Lasher

Democratic party
97.2%
▼ 0.7
Caroline Shinkle
Republican party
2.8%
▲ 0.7

Caroline Shinkle

Republican party
2.8%
▲ 0.7

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lasher
Nov 3 ·D +67.7margin forecast
Shinkle
$54,270 vol
Race Intel

NY-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJerrold Nadler (D)Not seeking re-election

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Caroline ShinkleR
    $155.1K
    15%
    $155.1K raised·15% small donors
  • Micah LasherD
    $3.3M
    2.7%
    $3.3M raised·2.7% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +63.6%2020D +71.4%

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