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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.66x
Before Oct 1, 2027
3.40x
$696,820 vol

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
4.31x
Before Jan 1, 2027
10.4x
$83,042 vol

Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled this month?

Yes
3.66x
No
1.20x
$338 vol

Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.86x
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.73x
$2,082 vol

Will John Fetterman resign from the Senate before 2028?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.19x
$211 vol

Will Chuck Grassley resign before Rob Sand takes office?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$275 vol