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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Jessica Tisch departure announced?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.46x
Before Jul 1, 2027
3.08x
$43,247 vol

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Yes
93.5x
No
1.01x
$6,754,076 vol

Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?

Yes
23.4x
No
--
$62,511 vol

Mark Hunt out as West Virginia State Auditor?

Yes
3.08x
No
1.31x
$200 vol

Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$2,048 vol

Mike Morath out as Texas Education Commissioner?

Yes
1.12x
No
7.85x
$0 vol

Jim McDonnell announces departure as LAPD Chief?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.46x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.40x
$0 vol

Ken Martin out as DNC chair?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.97x
Before Jul 1, 2027
3.96x
$40,022 vol

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.73x
Before Jan 1, 2029
5.56x
$18,747 vol

Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.40x
Before Jul 1, 2027
3.80x
$4 vol

Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?

Before Jul 1, 2027
6.29x
Before Jan 1, 2027
15.6x
$1,987 vol