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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Referendums
2026
Midterm Election Predictions
1 day
to Election
Overview
Senate
House
Governor
States
My Ballot
Senate
House
Governor
Map
Combo builder
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
More markets
Senate control forecast
DEM
REP
75%
Likely Dem
House control forecast
DEM
REP
94%
Safe Dem
Featured
Texas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Talarico
73%
Paxton
27%
Projected margin
D +2.9
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Nov 3
Karen Bass
57%
Nithya Raman
43%
$108,714,714 vol
Ohio Governor winner?
Nov 3
Acton
81%
Ramaswamy
19%
Projected margin
D +4.7
Florida Governor winner?
Nov 3
Jolly
37%
Donalds
63%
Projected margin
R +2.6
Maine Senate winner?
Nov 3
Jackson
71%
Collins
29%
Projected margin
D +3.1
Michigan Senate winner?
Nov 3
El-Sayed
78%
Rogers
22%
Projected margin
D +4.6
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Nov 3
Democrats sweep
79%
D-House, R-Senate
21%
$104,399,781 vol
Who will control the Senate?
Nov 3
Democrat
74%
Republican
26%
$32,116,164 vol
Kansas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Hamilton
63%
Marshall
37%
Projected margin
D +1.9
Alaska Senate winner?
Nov 3
Democratic
70%
Republican
30%
Texas Governor winner?
Nov 3
Hinojosa
41%
Abbott
59%
Projected margin
R +2.2
Who will control the House?
Nov 3
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
$106,010,918 vol
Show all 12 markets
Combos
$10 pays
$21
Combo · Blue Wave
Sherrod Brown (Ohio Senate winner?)
5 more
$181,026 vol
$10 pays
$35
Combo · Blue Tsunami
Adam Hamilton (Kansas Senate winner?)
4 more
$18,610 vol
$10 pays
$117
Combo · Red Wave
Republican Party (Who will control the Senate?)
5 more
$93,906 vol
$10 pays
$490
Combo · Red Tsunami
Republican Party (Who will control the House?)
4 more
$248,049 vol
Show 1 more combos
160 events
Market
Pays out
Odds
Blue wave this year?
·
Senate
$4,866,996 vol
Yes
1.13
x
87
%
No
7.25
x
13
%
New York Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$1,912,466 vol
Letitia James
1.07
x
93
%
Saritha Komatireddy
15.6
x
6
%
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
·
Mayor
$108,714,783 vol
Karen Bass
1.67
x
58
%
Nithya Raman
2.24
x
43
%
Blue tsunami this year?
·
Senate
$1,513,711 vol
Yes
1.44
x
67
%
No
2.89
x
33
%
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
·
Senate
$611,812 vol
Yes
2.66
x
34
%
No
1.46
x
66
%
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
·
US Elections
$2,085,062 vol
Yes
4.31
x
21
%
No
1.25
x
79
%
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
·
US Elections
$252,642 vol
Jon Rosenthal
1.76
x
54
%
Bo French
2.09
x
47
%
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?
·
Referendums
$103,726 vol
Yes
3.66
x
25
%
No
1.31
x
75
%
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$251,005 vol
Keith Ellison
1.20
x
82
%
Ronald J. Schutz
4.98
x
19
%
North Carolina State House winner?
·
US Elections
$115,633 vol
Democratic party
1.73
x
56
%
Republican party
2.29
x
42
%
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
·
Referendums
$72,821 vol
Proposition NN
1.76
x
51
%
Amendment 86
1.73
x
56
%
Michigan Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$48,320 vol
Eli Savit
1.14
x
87
%
Doug Lloyd
6.74
x
14
%
Florida Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$103,772 vol
James Uthmeier
1.38
x
71
%
José Javier Rodriguez
3.29
x
29
%
Georgia State Senate winner?
·
US Elections
$8,621 vol
Republican party
1.09
x
91
%
Democratic party
11.7
x
8
%
Iowa State House winner?
·
US Elections
$108,368 vol
Republican party
1.09
x
91
%
Democratic party
9.41
x
10
%
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
·
California
$108,999 vol
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1.57
x
62
%
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
2.34
x
41
%
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
·
US Elections
$53,326 vol
Yes
6.74
x
12
%
No
1.13
x
88
%
Arizona Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$69,741 vol
Kris Mayes
1.14
x
87
%
Warren Petersen
6.74
x
14
%
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
·
Referendums
$50,282 vol
Proposition 144
1.55
x
55
%
Proposition 320
1.40
x
69
%
Texas Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$62,428 vol
Mayes Middleton
1.55
x
63
%
Nathan Johnson
2.46
x
40
%
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?
·
Referendums
$22,579 vol
Question 5
1.34
x
73
%
Question 3
3.66
x
26
%
Iowa Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$79,210 vol
Brenna Bird
1.42
x
68
%
Nate Willems
2.89
x
33
%
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
·
Mixed Combos
$54,179 vol
Governor
1.05
x
94
%
Attorney General
1.02
x
97
%
Georgia Attorney General winner?
·
Attorney General
$26,120 vol
Tanya Miller
1.42
x
69
%
Brian Strickland
2.89
x
33
%
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