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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 2029
8.33x
Before 2027
100x
$7,853,690 vol

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.08x
$628,180 vol

What will be the 51st state in Trump’s term?

Cuba
Cuba
23.4x
Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico
46.8x
$2,010,790 vol

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition
1.08x
$100 billion to $299 billion
46.8x
$1,803,504 vol

Will ICE change its name this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.04x
$26,934 vol

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 2028
10.4x
Before Jan 21, 2029
9.41x
$871,837 vol

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.08x
$24,857 vol

When will Trump rename something else?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.46x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
$5,391 vol

When will the US add a 51st state?

Before Jan 1, 2035
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2034
3.29x
$90,512 vol

When will Trump rename an ocean?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$3,084 vol

Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.03x
$24,398 vol

Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?

Yes
46.8x
No
--
$2,044 vol

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.05x
$150,507 vol