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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

How many vulnerabilities will CISA add to the KEV catalog this month?

At least 30
1.86x
At least 35
3.29x
$86,423 vol

Who will Trump pardon this year?

Larry Householder
Larry Householder
5.56x
Nicole Daedone
Nicole Daedone
10.4x
$653,319 vol

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.98x
$1,742,223 vol

Will the Trump administration be held in contempt over East Potomac this year?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.19x
$4,077 vol

Will Trump impose martial law?

Before Jan 20, 2029
8.56x
Before Jan 1, 2028
9.41x
$131,239 vol

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.59x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.18x
$11,930 vol

Who will Trump pardon?

JD Vance
JD Vance
2.34x
Torence Hatch
Torence Hatch
2.34x
$497,925 vol

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?

Before Apr 1, 2027
3.66x
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.90x
$28,022 vol

When will Trump release more UFO files?

Before Dec 1, 2026
1.83x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.15x
$3,429 vol

Will the White House announce a briefing room swimming pool?

Before Jan 1, 2028
5.25x
Before Jan 1, 2027
46.8x
$11,833 vol

Will work on the East Potomac golf course resume this year?

Yes
2.89x
No
1.34x
$2,502 vol

Will Trump issue a blanket pardon for administration staff?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.19x
Before Jan 21, 2029
1.19x
$11,276 vol

Who will Donald Trump sue this year?

Michael Wolff
Michael Wolff
7.25x
Center for American Progress
Center for American Progress
7.85x
$3,954 vol

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom this year?

Elon Musk
Elon Musk
13.4x
Kid Rock
Kid Rock
11.7x
$36,678 vol

When will CISA issue a new Emergency Directive?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.52x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
$1,202 vol

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

Yes
7.69x
No
1.11x
$172,106 vol

Which agencies will be eliminated?

USAID
USAID
9.41x
EPA
EPA
8.56x
$203,004 vol

Will Trump sit for a deposition in his BBC lawsuit?

Yes
3.66x
No
1.25x
$10,208 vol

Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund this year?

Anyone
18.8x
Hunter Biden
Hunter Biden
23.4x
$58,463 vol

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.70x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.59x
$894 vol

Will the White House move reporters out of the briefing room this year?

Yes
2.46x
No
1.42x
$2,237 vol

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.79x
Before Mar 1, 2027
3.40x
$60,147 vol

Will another fraud whistleblower reward be announced this year?

Yes
1.55x
No
2.05x
$1,185 vol

How many bills will Trump veto this year?

At least 1
4.13x
At least 4
10.4x
$43,486 vol