Pro Basketball PlayoffsNew York vs Boston: Game 5 Winner?
NYK38¢
$100 → $252BOS64¢
$100 → $152$65,281,558
ATP Rome (M) · QuarterfinalMusetti vs Zverev
Musetti49¢
$100 → $197Zverev59¢
$100 → $164LIVE
·$1,121,256·Annually
"Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 85
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 87
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$144,074
Fed decision in June?
No change
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$64,525,076
Eurovision Winner 2025?
Sweden
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Austria
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$250,944·Annually
GTA 6 release date?
Before June 2026
78%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before August 2026
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$448,819
Best AI this month?
Gemini
82%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Grok
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,336,590
Pro Basketball PlayoffsNew York vs Boston: Series Winner?
NYK86¢
$100 → $115BOS16¢
$100 → $590$87,872,966
How high will the inflation level get in 2025?
At least 4%
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 5%
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$291,725
What will Powell say during his June press conference?
Credit
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Disinflation
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,183,328
Highest temperature in NYC today?
62° or below
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
63° to 64°
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Parlay
$42,083,464·Daily
8h 48m 32s
What will Leavitt say in next press briefing?
Xi / Jinping
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ICE / Immigration and Customs Enforcement
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,346,752
"Final Destination: Bloodlines" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 90
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 87
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$363,189
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.25
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.20
69%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,972,751·Monthly
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
India
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Israel
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$807,813
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Minnesota
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,283,010·Annually
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$940,252
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 100,000
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,095,578·Monthly
What will Jerome Powell say during the Framework Review?
Recession
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––GDP / Gross Domestic Product
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$237,860
What will the Fear & Greed Index be on Friday?
Greed
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Extreme Greed
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,220
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Before Jan 1, 2026
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 1, 2025
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$377,458
SpaceX Starship 9th launch?
Before May 29
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before May 22
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,895,522
PGA Championship Winner?
Rory McIlroy
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Scottie Scheffler
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,812,468·Annually
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Aug 2025
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$76,958
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 200
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 150
74%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,690,871·Monthly
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
1
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––2
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$777,418
When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD?
Before July
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$149,773
Who will be the top three wealthiest people in the world?
Larry Ellison
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mark Zuckerberg
89%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$268,038
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
Before Jun 1, 2025
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$43,377
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before September 2025
78%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July 2025
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$56,617
Who will Trump meet with before June?
Benjamin Netanyahu
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Vladimir Putin
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$256,969
When will the S&P hit a new all-time high?
Before Dec 2025
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Oct 2025
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,849
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
George Simion
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Nicusor Dan
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,078,064
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Zohran Mamdani
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,318,641
Unemployment in May?
Above 4.2%
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.3%
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,757,470·Monthly
Who will go on Joe Rogan this year?
Bill Ackman
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Vivek Ramaswamy
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$188,782
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Preview-05-06
53%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––o3-2025-04-16
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,394,902·Monthly
Least streamed song on I'm The Problem by Jun 20th?
Interlude
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Working Man's Song
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,108
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jun 1, 2025?
OpenAI
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Google
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$41,126
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
European Union
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Brazil
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$206,635
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
0
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1 to 100
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$303,977
ADP employment change this month?
Above 150000
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 100000
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,406
Will Bruno Mars be overtaken as the most streamed monthly artist on Spotify?
Before September
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$62,725
"Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 55
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 60
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$43,969
When will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels?
Before Dec 2025
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 2025
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$11,325
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
L.M. v. Town of Middleborough
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Peterson v. Doe
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,153
Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France before July?
Yes
$100 → $340No
$100 → $133$16,665
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jan 1, 2026
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jul 5, 2026
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,161,284
Who will launch a coin this year?
Kanye West (Ye)
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––MrBeast
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$105,294
Will Samsung release a trifold phone this year?
Before Dec 2025
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Aug 2025
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,428
Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain this year?
Yes
$100 → $218No
$100 → $170$14,144
GDP growth in 2025?
0.0 or below
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1.6 to 2.0
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$281,966
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July 2025
93%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$451,238
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
California
97%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Minnesota
88%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,738
Fed funds rate in June?
Above 4.25%
89%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.00%
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$32,446,628
Will it be reported that US has deported a citizen to El Salvador this year?
Yes
$100 → $243No
$100 → $152$30,683
May temperature increase?
1.10 to 1.16
62%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1.17 to 1.23
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$432,897
What will NVIDIA say on their next earnings call?
H100
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––DGX Cloud
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$87,603
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
Bitcoin
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––XRP
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$40,964
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Steven Fulop
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$137,999
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Aug 2025
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$91,964
CPI core in May?
Above 0.2%
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.3%
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,997,292·Monthly
Will Trump fire any more regulators with fixed terms before September?
Yes
$100 → $131No
$100 → $269$8,605
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before October
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
73%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$54,642·Annually
English Premier LeagueChelsea vs Manchester United: Game Winner?
CHE72¢
$100 → $135TIE
$538MUN13¢
$100 → $725$121,655
Tesla deliveries this quarter?
350000 or more
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––375000 or more
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$914,874
How high will Bitcoin get this year?
$125,000 or above
59%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$150,000 or above
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,357,295·Annually
Democratic nominee for Lieutenant Governor in Virginia?
Aaron Rouse
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Babur Lateef
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,409
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Yulia Navalnaya
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Volodymyr Zelenskyy
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$651,948
Margin of victory in Romania presidential election?
Nicușor Dan by 0-5.99%
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––George Simion by 0-5.99%
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$105,985
Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
New York
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Indiana
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,658,394·Annually
Will stablecoin legislation happen this year?
Before Dec 31, 2025
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 1, 2025
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$12,004
Will the courts block any part of any of Trump's tariffs this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$24,226
When will Rodney Scott be confirmed as Commissioner of U.S. CBP?
Before Jul 2025
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Dec 2025
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,057
What will Alibaba say on their next earnings call?
Southeast Asia / SEA
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,933
Will the DOJ claim in federal court that any of President Biden's pardons are void?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,586
ISM Manufacturing PMI this month?
At least 47
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 48
37%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,031
How much will the SALT tax cap deduction be raised to this year?
$50,000 or above
44%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,000 or above
86%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$34,638
What states will create crypto reserves this year?
Texas
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Ohio
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$50,243
How much will core PCE increase in April 2025?
Above 0.1%
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 0.0%
90%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$200,168·Monthly
Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,607
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Benjamin Netanyahu
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mohammed bin Salman
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$128,501
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––HPV
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$169,796
TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Pope Leo XIV
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Donald Trump
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,818,501·Annually
Will Trump end the de minimis exception for all tariffs this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,865
Which of these cryptocurrencies will perform best this year?
Ripple
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bitcoin
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,592
Who will visit the White House before January?
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Joe Rogan
40%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,081,809·Annually
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Pete Hegseth
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Peter Navarro
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$464,303
Who will release an album this year?
Lil Uzi Vert
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Justin Bieber
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$21,445
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2026?
More than $500 billion
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$97,965
"How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 90
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 85
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$12,143
How many Starship launches will reach space this year?
7 to 9
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4 to 6
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,617
Who will win the Mayor election in San Antonio?
Gina Ortiz Jones
86%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Rolando Pablos
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,217
Will Trump call for John Roberts to retire or be impeached this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,985
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,624
US GDP growth in Q2 2025?
Above 2.0%
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1.5%
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,457,875
How many #1 songs this year?
More than 17
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 19
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$132,865
Will the Stop Terror-Financing and Tax Penalties on American Hostages Act become law this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,231
Will the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act become law this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,560
How many barrels per day oil will the US create this year?
At least 14500000
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 14000000
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,432
When will there be a half-trillionaire?
Before 2027
55%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2028
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$87,121
Highest score of any LLM on OSWorld this year?
At least 60
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 70
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,751
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year?
At least 600
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 625
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,057
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
5
39%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$55,405
What will RFK ban this year?
Aspartame
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Seed oils
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$159,419
How many Cabinet members will Trump fire this year?
0
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$65,539
Will any Trump political appointee be found in contempt of court this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,102
What agencies will have their budgets cut this year?
CFPB
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––SEC
91%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$87,897
What countries will Marco Rubio visit this year?
China
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Denmark
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,512
Will any top AI company decide to not release their best models this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,401
How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year?
More than 40
56%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––More than 45
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,474
Will the upper stage of the SpaceX Starship be recovered intact this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,332
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,499
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
John Fetterman
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Chuck Schumer
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,158
Who will go on 'This Is Gavin Newsom' this year?
Kamala Harris
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Marc Andreessen
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,917
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the House?
Jared Golden
66%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Thomas Massie
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,638
What companies will announce hiring freezes on software engineers this year?
Tesla
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Google
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Will the Republican reconciliation bill be scored relative to a current policy baseline?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,512
What chain will Kanye launch his token on?
No asset
72%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Binance Smart Chain
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Will Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae exit government conservatorship this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,318
Will China announce they are ending their sanctions against Marco Rubio this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,943
Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$20,896
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,597
Will The Washington Post be banned from White House pressers this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,417
How many Senate ties will J.D. Vance break this year?
3
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––2
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$55,739
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Jared Golden
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Thomas Massie
13%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$9,045
NYC subway ridership levels before 2026?
3.95 Million
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––4.19 Million
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$23,442